28/05/2022

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China market analyst out after his social media accounts were frozen


Tencent’s (TCEHY) WeChat froze Hong’s public account over the weekend, after he posted about huge outflows of capital from the country and made bearish forecasts about the Chinese stock market.

Hong was managing director and head of research at BOCOM International, the Hong Kong-based investment banking arm of Bank of Communications, China’s fifth largest bank.

A spokesman for BOCOM International told CNN Business on Wednesday that Hong had resigned from the company for personal reasons.

Hong declined to comment. His account on Weibo, which had more than 3 million followers, was also removed during the weekend.

Covid lockdowns batter Chinese stock markets and the yuan

Covid lockdowns have taken a heavy toll on the world’s second biggest economy. The latest government survey data — released Saturday — shows activity across manufacturing and services slumping to its lowest level since February 2020.

Beijing’s zero-Covid policy and its crackdown on Big Tech have triggered an unprecedented flight of capital by foreign investors in recent months. The yuan recently plunged to its lowest level in 17 months.

It’s still not entirely clear which of Hong’s posts triggered the social media ban.

Foreign investors are ditching China. Russia's war is the latest trigger

The last reports posted on his WeChat public account were titled: “Be wary of capital flight” and “What should Chinese ADRs worry about.” ADRs are securities issued by Chinese firms listed in the United States.

Hong warned in those reports about foreign investors dumping Chinese stocks and called attention to the most severe capital outflow since the pandemic began. He also blamed China’s tech crackdown, rather than new US rules on listings by foreign companies, for being behind an epic sell-off in Chinese ADRs in March.

In another note on March 21, Hong also predicted the Shanghai Composite would drop below 3,000 points.

Last Monday, the Shanghai Composite fell below 3,000 for the first time in 21 months, as rising Covid-19 cases in Beijing sparked fears that the Chinese capital could join Shanghai and other major cities in lockdown.

Quoted from Various Sources

Published for: WATPFC